A new toll on global energy: Can Iran permanently control the Strait of Hormuz?

The ongoing geopolitical instability surrounding the Strait of Hormuz has entered a critical phase, with the vital waterway remaining largely inaccessible ten weeks into the conflict. Despite a formal ceasefire, sporadic attacks on commercial vessels, including tankers like the MT Heroic Idun and the VLCC Abqaiq, continue to disrupt global energy flows. Major ports such as Fujairah and Jebel Ali face significant operational backlogs, forcing shipping companies like Maersk and Hapag-Lloyd to reroute fleets, further straining international maritime logistics and supply chains.

The prolonged closure of this chokepoint forces compliance departments to strictly adhere to SOLAS Chapter XI-2, which governs special measures to enhance maritime security under the ISPS Code. Vessels navigating near high-risk zones must ensure full compliance with IMO Resolution A.1069(28) regarding the protection of seafarers from piracy and armed robbery. Furthermore, ISM Code requirements necessitate updated risk assessments for voyage planning, as classification societies like DNV or Lloyd’s Register may impose additional insurance premiums or restrictive hull and machinery coverage clauses due to the persistent threat of regional kinetic engagements.

Navigating officers must prioritize enhanced bridge watchkeeping and radar surveillance to detect unauthorized small craft approaching the vessel. It is essential for these officers to maintain constant communication with the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) and adhere to the latest Best Management Practices (BMP5) guidelines. Masters should conduct rigorous pre-transit security briefings, ensuring that all citadel protocols are tested and that bridge teams remain vigilant against potential asymmetric threats during this period of extreme regional volatility.