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The Strait After the Ceasefire. Seven Weeks of Data from the Gulf’s Only Maritime Exit

26 May 2026

AXSMarine AIS-derived crossing data, collected continuously from 1 March through 21 April 2026, documents how the Strait of Hormuz has functioned – and who has been willing to use it – in the weeks since the conflict began. From Stillness to Structure When we published When the Gulf Went Still in ea

New AXSMarine AIS-derived data covering the period from 1 March to 21 April 2026 reveals critical shifts in traffic patterns through the Strait of Hormuz following the recent ceasefire. As the Gulf’s primary maritime exit, the strait has transitioned from a period of total stillness to a structured transit corridor. Tracking data from major tankers and bulk carriers confirms that while commercial confidence is slowly returning, specific shipping companies remain cautious regarding transit schedules through these volatile Middle Eastern chokepoints.

Navigating these waters requires strict adherence to SOLAS Chapter V, Regulation 10, which mandates the use of mandatory ship reporting systems and vessel traffic services. Compliance departments must ensure that all bridge teams are fully updated on current maritime security guidance and International Maritime Organization (IMO) circulars regarding high-risk areas. Furthermore, adherence to ISPS Code requirements remains paramount for vessels traversing the Strait of Hormuz, as classification societies and insurers continue to monitor operational compliance to mitigate risks associated with regional geopolitical instability.

Masters and navigating officers must prioritize enhanced bridge resource management and maintain heightened situational awareness during transit. It is essential to verify that AIS transponders are operating correctly and that all security protocols under the ship’s Vessel Security Plan are strictly enforced. Officers should anticipate increased scrutiny from regional authorities and ensure that all passage plans are documented with contingency measures for rapid departure from the traffic separation scheme if security conditions deteriorate further.

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